Frequent-Adaptation
0x216f133cdc7e4ae730ecdb30be0fff3a5b628016
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.16
Total PnL
$-8.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
4 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.51
- NO
Will Atmosphere (Taylor Jenkins Reid) win Readers’ Favorite Historical Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.56
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$1.06May 9, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$1.03Apr 28, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada strike Iran by March 31?$1.30Apr 14, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.49Apr 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.06Apr 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada strike Iran by March 31?$1.30Mar 28, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.48Dec 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.56Dec 6, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?$1.47Dec 1, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on November 25?$2.43Dec 1, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atmosphere (Taylor Jenkins Reid) win Readers’ Favorite Historical Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?$1.01Dec 1, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.61Nov 26, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $130 on November 25?$1.12Nov 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?$1.00Nov 16, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$3.60Nov 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$21.94Nov 15, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.19Nov 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$27.13Nov 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$7.54Nov 15, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$19.03Nov 15, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".