Watchful-Production
0x21847e62996173449d295bc00c5d5f427fb500df
Quality score
86/100
Open positions
55
Open notional
$692.85
Total PnL
$-90.47
Realised
$85.59
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
170 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$168.52
$6.42
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
146 shares @ 91.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$136.72
$2.66
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
67 shares @ 74.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$60.29
$10.26
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
32 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.47
$1.29
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
36 shares @ 68.2¢·now 74.9¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$26.92
$2.40
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?
25 shares @ 95.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$23.12
$-0.90
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
35 shares @ 72.2¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.79
$-2.54
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
23 shares @ 91.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.15
$0.33
- NO
Will SpaceX list on the NYSE?
19 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.14
$2.07
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
19 shares @ 87.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$18.02
$1.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$0.0213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$0.4713h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$5.9917h ago
- REDEEMWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$11.5018h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$6.0120h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$6.0120h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$6.0721h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$6.0121h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$6.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$0.701d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$5.211d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$6.041d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$6.021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$2.521d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$6.021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$3.941d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$6.071d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$2.561d ago
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$35.282d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.622d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.