Shallow-Alpenhorn
0x21939ca49b4595dd15684a3c487285601c801427
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
133
Open notional
$47.91
Total PnL
$-557.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
277 shares @ 19.9¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.86
$-33.14
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
170 shares @ 23.5¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.62
$-26.38
- YES
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.42
$-12.58
- YES
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.64
$-5.36
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.38
$-4.62
- YES
Rainbow FDV above $800M one day after launch?
261 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?
234 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on November 13?
154 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
136 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 5?$1.06May 5, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 5?$2.13May 5, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$5.00Jan 7, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?$20.00Jan 2, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?$30.00Jan 2, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 1?$3.04Jan 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow FDV above $800M one day after launch?$40.00Jan 1, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on December 31?$4.00Jan 1, 13:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".