UnclassifiedExpires Jan 1, 2027

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Probability

7¢

1h

+0.2pp

24h

+1.3pp

24h Vol

$2.2K

Liquidity

$17.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 06:00Apr 29, 2026, 05:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 7¢; +0.2pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $17.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5927.3h

    LOW
  • 05:43Signal

    Resolution risk

    Open resolution ambiguity — verify the source.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.3pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.

Biggest hourly move: +46.6pp at 13:00 (to 52¢).

Show 2 hourly moves
  • 14:00 · +4.4pp → 10¢
  • 13:00 · +46.6pp → 52¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

13
Same eventMetamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source

Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.

Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket