Smoggy-Warren
0x219f3d824701aa086d86b597934012085ca10511
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$2.97
Total PnL
$-42.34
Realised
$5.46
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.38
$0.38
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.34
$0.34
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
201 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
201 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
201 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
201 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$141.63Oct 30, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?$0.19Oct 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$0.13Oct 13, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$0.13Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$0.13Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?$0.13Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?$0.13Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?$0.16Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?$0.13Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$0.16Oct 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?$0.16Oct 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?$0.18Oct 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?$0.21Oct 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$0.18Oct 13, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?$0.20Oct 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?$0.31Oct 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?$0.62Oct 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the most valuable company on October 31?$0.16Oct 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?$0.36Oct 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$0.60Oct 13, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".