Noisy-Photographer
0x21eb3ef3e5aa7d583f1bf649a914b5c370dda39c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.54
Total PnL
$-10.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.64
$0.00
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.55
$0.01
- NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will India join the Board of Peace?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.04
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.26
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
3 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 21, 8PM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?$2.21Jul 13, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?$1.04Jul 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?$1.13Jul 11, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?$1.04Jul 11, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?$1.08Jul 11, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 140-159 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.13Jul 7, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.13Jul 5, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.08Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.22Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$1.01Jun 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.07Jun 28, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.15Jun 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.15Jun 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.21Jun 13, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.04May 9, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.24Apr 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.06Mar 30, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaroline Leavitt out by March 31?$1.64Mar 29, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?$2.25Dec 30, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 04:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.