Admired-Whack
0x21f33a03497579a2eba59f0249abc3987767cbf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$2.05
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.90
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.71
$0.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.68
$0.88
- NO
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.