Cautious-Airmail-Gosling
0x21faec1dd3a1d219229507d458fa4e5ab11f04ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$48.34
Total PnL
$-67.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
20 shares @ 81.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.67
$0.38
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
19 shares @ 79.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
8 shares @ 62.5¢·now 20.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.65
$-3.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 9?
2948 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
89 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-52.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$85.01Jun 14, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$40.64Jun 14, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$5.27Jun 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$5.29Jun 14, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$3.44Jun 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$3.97Jun 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$0.85Jun 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$0.85Jun 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$8.01Jun 14, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$5.32Jun 14, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$53.28Jun 13, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$108.48Jun 12, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$105.67Jun 12, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.16Jun 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.27Jun 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$142.70Jun 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$100.90Jun 11, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.21Jun 11, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$3.21Jun 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.14Jun 11, 04:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $20.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.