Extraneous-Adult
0x221675913a4b63a1d8efaf3a99bb3db91ee9e20f
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$315.97
Total PnL
$15.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
143 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$143.43
$11.19
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
144 shares @ 78.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$122.78
$9.53
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.21
$2.21
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.34
$-4.66
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.61
$-2.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.