Ultimate-Debate
0x221dfe832b994d340f0dd7382427359c1b9facb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$94.19
Total PnL
$-12.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
94 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$94.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 23?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 31?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 27?
935 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 10?
680 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
265 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 22?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
81 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CARDINALS
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$94.01Jun 8, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$94.09Jun 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$94.01Jun 2, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$94.09Jun 2, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$94.01May 23, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$94.09May 23, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$94.00May 19, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$94.09May 19, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$94.00May 13, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$94.28May 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$94.01May 9, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$94.19May 9, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$94.01May 5, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$93.09May 5, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$93.00Apr 27, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24?$93.09Apr 27, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 24?$93.00Apr 24, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?$93.09Apr 24, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?$93.00Apr 18, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 16?$93.09Apr 18, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $90.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.