Careless-Will-Failure
0x2226bc029475fa98dd77f2a46226fd31f8825c76
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.73
Total PnL
$-5.90
Realised
$0.84
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 15?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.07
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?
6 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.01
$0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 15?
12 shares @ 5.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.00
$0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 14?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.49
$-0.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?
14 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.14
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 13?
470 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 12?
120 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 12?
55 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 11?
22 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?$0.22May 14, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?$0.10May 13, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?$1.10May 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?$1.09May 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 15?$1.14May 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?$0.43May 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 15?$0.56May 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 13?$0.28May 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 13?$0.10May 13, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?$1.71May 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 14?$0.12May 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 15?$1.04May 13, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?$1.13May 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?$1.13May 13, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 14?$0.24May 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?$0.86May 13, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on May 15?$1.13May 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 14?$1.15May 13, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?$0.95May 13, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on May 13?$1.65May 13, 01:02 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".