Jumbo-Promotion
0x225608ff8bc39653db20dfc4c4cbb3175b742225
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$2.22
Total PnL
$-628.23
Realised
$410.94
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.95
$-0.55
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
124 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.31
$-4.62
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.18
$-0.90
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
62406 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-77.32
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
6624 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-728.44
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
3166 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.22May 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.76May 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.05Apr 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.55Apr 22, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.16Apr 22, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.14Apr 22, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.02Apr 22, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?$4.75Apr 22, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.02Apr 22, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.02Apr 22, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.09Apr 22, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.09Apr 22, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.03Apr 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.05Apr 22, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 28, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.67Jan 27, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.24Jan 27, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.19Jan 27, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$0.53Jan 26, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.