Jealous-Copywriter
0x226ac79bb628b4d83c05570af03445e389996411
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-31.22
Realised
$1.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1700 shares @ 84.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.5K
$48.51
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
900 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$814.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?
379 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$361.94
$0.35
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
289 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$249.82
$4.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
242 shares @ 93.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$228.69
$2.63
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$179.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.00
$3.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
100 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$97.85
$2.75
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$173.10Jul 3, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$94.91Jul 3, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?$122.75Jul 3, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?$21.97Jul 3, 01:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05Jul 3, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.34Jul 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$75.91Jul 2, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$14.09Jul 2, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?$96.15Jul 2, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?$48.08Jul 2, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$0.00Jul 2, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1.0KJul 2, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$492.50Jul 2, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$141.72Jul 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$150.65Jul 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$7.08Jul 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$13.04Jul 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$17.54Jul 2, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$142.23Jul 2, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $98.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.