Infinite-Oeuvre
0x2276864b43d1452e6c56f4b05d9c9e466b3c0821
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
90
Open notional
$16.33
Total PnL
$-147.04
Realised
$-1.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
82 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.82
$-1.18
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
180 shares @ 8.3¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.85
$-9.15
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
58 shares @ 8.7¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$-3.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12PM ET
1856 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?
1669 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1PM ET
1465 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11AM ET
1442 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 8?
1392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
1363 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.23May 10, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 10, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.45May 8, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$26.85May 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.90May 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.45May 7, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.69Apr 23, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.00Apr 23, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 22?$2.00Apr 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 22?$2.00Apr 22, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Apr 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 17, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$9.00Apr 16, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 9, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$3.00Apr 9, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9AM ET$1.00Apr 9, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.