Adventurous-Manufacturer
0x227c18f940679ed4f8f63e69b812f46ef77dee3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-34.3K
Realised
$6.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4000 shares @ 13.1¢·now 46.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.9K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 63.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$204.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
600 shares @ 7.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$19.49
$-25.31
- YES
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
43130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-105.97
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
37351 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-276.99
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
15292 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-88.98
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
10911 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-193.02
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
9140 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.54
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
7481 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-97.22
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
5947 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-350.84
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$37.41May 18, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$18.42May 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$46.04May 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$11.82May 18, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.30May 18, 12:58 UTC
- REWARD$5.18May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$171.12Apr 30, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$103.52Apr 30, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$109.15Apr 30, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$114.16Apr 30, 17:50 UTC
- REWARD$5.18Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$96.91Apr 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.32Apr 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$4.52Apr 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.52Apr 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.62Apr 28, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$16.00Apr 28, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $78.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".