Stunning-Attention
0x229adac2d20461676a79f23a22abf5beddaddbc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$92.51
Total PnL
$-62.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?
14 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$12.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 16?
9 shares @ 37.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$8.80
$5.47
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 50.8¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.20
$1.20
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$5.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$5.51
$0.51
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 16?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 58.2¢·now 58.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 16?$10.85Jul 16, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?$13.00Jul 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$5.00Jul 16, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?$5.00Jul 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$5.00Jul 16, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?$5.00Jul 16, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 16?$3.43Jul 16, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 16?$5.11Jul 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 16?$10.04Jul 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jul 15, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$5.08Jul 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20?$5.03Jul 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20?$5.03Jul 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$6.47Jul 15, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.11Jul 15, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$3.50Jul 15, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$3.10Jul 15, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.36Jul 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.03Jul 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?$6.16Jul 15, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 13:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.