Primary-Notoriety
0x22af2eeb8ce0251f483de6d0d8c44889a4c7399a
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$292.42
Total PnL
$-13.4K
Realised
$190.89
Win rate
55%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02?
400 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$74.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?
200 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$66.99
$-1.00
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
1050 shares @ 7.9¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$61.42
$-21.57
- NO
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$47.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$43.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
5993 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
5341 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
4945 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-67.82
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
4153 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-394.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Le Mans FC win on 2026-05-02?$3.2632s ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?$11.322h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?$0.522h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?$51.342h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$13.783h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$1.483h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$0.933h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$4.373h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$4.373h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$2.973h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$0.323h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$0.303h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-02?$17.483h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.546h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02?$69.418h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?$50.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?$2.588h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?$0.528h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moreirense FC win on 2026-05-02?$1.739h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02?$2.599h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15h ago
- Last active
- 32s ago
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".