Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.9pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$320.87
Probability (last 7 days)
-13.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 2¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $321 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3082.4h
- 13:38SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.3pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.7pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the league of next club that Mohamed Salah officially joins by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. If Mohamed Salah does not officially join a new club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Mohamed Salah signs a contract that includes a delayed transfer or loan-back clause requiring him to remain at Liverpool for a specified period before joining another club, this market will resolve to the club he is officially contracted to join following that period. If Mohamed Salah joins a club in a league that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Mohamed Salah is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a club’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official transfer announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Liverpool, Mohamed Salah and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Sep 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).