Useless-Netball
0x22e9aff90be9351c7529a8ec8508605e5ca9cb9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$961.21
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-18.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7569 shares @ 19.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$794.71
$-706.07
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
1110 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.50
$-55.55
- NO
US inauguration on January 20?
17000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-185.01
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8777 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-845.48
- YES
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?
7863 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-352.39
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026?
6751 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.46
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?
6300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
- NO
Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?
6246 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.90
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?
5767 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$10.00Apr 30, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$88.00Apr 28, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$4.54Apr 27, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$5.96Apr 27, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$245.00Apr 23, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$3.00Apr 23, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$13.39Apr 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$50.00Apr 22, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$1.7KApr 22, 04:55 UTC
- REWARD$2.24Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$5.00Apr 21, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$2.00Apr 21, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$1.00Apr 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$2.00Apr 21, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$28.00Apr 20, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$65.70Apr 20, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.00Apr 20, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$38.00Apr 20, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$75.00Apr 20, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$5.00Apr 19, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $73.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 04:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.