Glamorous-Rhythm
0x22f6984ef56fa8db687527c9bde443c9207bea56
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$46.18
Total PnL
$-17.92
Realised
$-18.02
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.26
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.84
$0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.47
$0.03
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.09
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in July?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.84
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.69
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.59
$0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.49
$0.00
- NO
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.45
$0.01
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in July?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.31
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.13Jul 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.13Jul 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.13Jul 29, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.44Jul 29, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$1.49Jul 29, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$1.58Jul 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$1.68Jul 29, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $29.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.