0x2315f80ffce3a02d4f81d1b1c0ddb536660e39b1
0x2315f80ffce3a02d4f81d1b1c0ddb536660e39b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
166
Open notional
$91.30
Total PnL
$-699.06
Realised
$-0.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.99
$1.20
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$13.90
$0.10
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$11.00
$1.10
- NO
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.84
$1.04
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.75
$-0.25
- NO
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.55
$-0.74
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 18.3¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.01
$-0.56
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
20 shares @ 31.5¢·now 18.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.78
$-2.52
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 11.4¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.41
$-0.44
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.15
$0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.20Jun 11, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill La Rochelle win?$8.30Jun 10, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chiefs win?$10.00Jun 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glasgow Warriors/Connacht win?$2.27Jun 6, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glasgow Warriors/Connacht win?$1.45Jun 6, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glasgow Warriors/Connacht win?$2.40Jun 6, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glasgow Warriors/Connacht win?$3.92Jun 6, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Glasgow Warriors/Connacht win?$6.44Jun 6, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chiefs win?$5.74Jun 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chiefs win?$1.96Jun 5, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill La Rochelle win?$6.22Jun 4, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Bordeaux Begles win?$8.00Jun 4, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.93Jun 3, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toulon win?$59.99Jun 1, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ASM Clermont Auvergne win?$5.50May 31, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ASM Clermont Auvergne win?$6.00May 31, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ASM Clermont Auvergne win?$6.00May 31, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulon win?$15.00May 31, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Bordeaux Begles win?$7.50May 31, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Bordeaux Begles win?$7.99May 31, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.