Polite-Dressing
0x231c3842f240a8d25059cc6cd4828b4966566d86
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$187.63
Total PnL
$-15.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.45
$0.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$30.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 7?
25 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$25.02
$0.03
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$19.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.98
$-0.02
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Knicks
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
21 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
10 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- CLIPPERS
Warriors vs. Clippers
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$99.20Jun 10, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.02Jun 8, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$30.00Jun 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 7?$25.00Jun 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in June?$20.01Jun 8, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$11.01Jun 8, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.01Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$18.31Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$26.16Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in May?$30.03Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$100.40Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$18.01May 26, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$26.01May 26, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in May?$30.00May 26, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs$19.23May 26, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Thunder$22.73May 26, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$32.00May 26, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$31.90May 6, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$100.03May 6, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.00May 6, 03:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $29.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 05:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.