Shameful-Testimonial
0x231e41edeb444c11921721226bd552b2265e9297
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-326.30
Win rate
52%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7838 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.3K
$2.3K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7838 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$780.40
$44.40
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
202 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$199.52
$-0.00
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch?
185 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$166.82
$-2.97
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 64.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$84.22
$20.44
- NO
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch?
67 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$60.48
$0.40
- NO
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 77.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$58.70
$10.00
- NO
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 32.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$54.67
$22.47
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 74.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.55
$9.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.79Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$27.78Jul 24, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?$146.97Jul 24, 12:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.79Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.78Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.78Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.