Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Probability
23¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
+15.5pp
24h Vol
$2.2K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+15.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6026.2h
- 02:46SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6026h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 25¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 21¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 25¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 23¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 22¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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