Motionless-Something
0x233bacfb515aad6871027b95c5e4c6166f5c1f2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$301.53
Realised
$26.99
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3956 shares @ 32.7¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$247.26
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3969 shares @ 17.1¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$688.31
$9.53
- NO
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
2047 shares @ 14.6¢·now 28.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$573.09
$273.11
- NO
Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?
6022 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$394.46
$94.48
- NO
Over $60M committed to the Credible public sale?
318 shares @ 94.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$297.24
$-2.75
- NO
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?
338 shares @ 88.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$282.29
$-17.70
- NO
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?
356 shares @ 83.9¢·now 76.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$270.24
$-28.05
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
954 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$157.39
$-14.25
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?
92 shares @ 68.3¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$58.09
$-4.88
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Credible public sale?
6647 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$16.62
$-283.37
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.20Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.68Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.69Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?$0.00Jul 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$16.35Jul 13, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$5.54Jul 13, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$13.69Jul 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELL0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$99.48Jul 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$28.36Jul 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$76.09Jul 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$6.10Jul 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$18.13Jul 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.72Jul 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.62Jul 13, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $45M committed to the Credible public sale?$303.15Jul 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.81Jul 13, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Credible public sale?$319.91Jul 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $50M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.73Jul 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.62Jul 13, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $97.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.