Plain-Beast
0x234abe6966310113489d4dfd767d400ebe91cbff
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$74.10
Total PnL
$-983.52
Realised
$66.46
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$27.90
$3.90
- NO
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
50 shares @ 62.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.72
$0.68
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 18.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.50
$2.10
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
9 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.23
$-1.12
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)
1241 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-421.94
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
687 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-391.59
- NO
Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?
461 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-59.93
- YES
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?
260 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-36.40
- NO
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
254 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-48.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$16.38Apr 27, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$748.80Apr 27, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.30Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$118.22Apr 27, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$126.50Apr 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$126.28Apr 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$44.88Apr 27, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$17.48Apr 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$716.68Apr 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$11.40Apr 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$0.21Apr 21, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$122.09Apr 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$214.89Apr 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?$298.52Apr 12, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$319.28Apr 11, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$131.43Apr 10, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?$105.36Apr 10, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$66.72Apr 10, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$228.00Apr 10, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$69.00Apr 9, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $193.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 11:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.