0x238fe1b4a91d47bda4fb418dd4a6a09494983015
0x238fe1b4a91d47bda4fb418dd4a6a09494983015
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$61.03
Total PnL
$-80.62
Realised
$99.05
Win rate
54%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.59
$3.74
- NO
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?
5 shares @ 35.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.45
$2.84
- YES
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
4 shares @ 18.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.71
$2.98
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
45 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.97
$-0.81
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
4 shares @ 25.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.61
$1.69
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
35 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.29
$0.18
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
146 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.19
$0.29
- YES
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
46 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$2.19
$0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
144 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.09
$-1.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
75 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.02
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.005m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.235m ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.5010m ago
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$2.5214m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.1030m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.5331m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.6332m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.6133m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.4834m ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.0036m ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.5440m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$1.2142m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$1.2144m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0556m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.111h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.451h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.001h ago
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$2.401h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.541h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.191h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 5m ago
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".