Impish-Uniformity
0x23be13f44421e7f3a0fe26955aca08f824b24390
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$3.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.9K
$865.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$135.00
$-865.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.76
$1.76
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- YES
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.63
$1.63
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$4.01Jul 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$3.02Jul 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$2.03Jul 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$2.03Jul 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$3.01Jul 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B AND Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs QUAZAR (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group B$1.99Jul 21, 14:28 UTC
- SPLITWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0KJul 21, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4?$30.00Jun 3, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?$0.00Jun 3, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$150.60Jun 3, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$500.50Jun 3, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?$100.29Jun 2, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$150.04Jun 2, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$500.02Jun 2, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on October 23?$5.56Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$12.22Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$13.43Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$22.66Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$23.05Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?$50.35Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $113.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.