Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Probability
42¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.0pp
24h Vol
$88.03
Liquidity
$28.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6028.0h
- 01:00SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6028h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 42¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 45¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 46¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 46¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between January 1, and December 31, 2026 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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