Large-Cesspool
0x244d72b6799f3c84b2c1141f664e7790cc606154
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$109.01
Total PnL
$-96.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of July 13 2026?
98 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$98.10
$0.10
- UNDER
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
11 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$10.91
$4.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?
705 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 2?
691 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 20?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 20?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?
505 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of July 13 2026?$98.00Jul 17, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$6.46Jul 17, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June?$104.10Jul 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June?$104.00Jun 27, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 22 above $270?$104.10Jun 27, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 22 above $270?$104.00Jun 26, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?$104.20Jun 26, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?$104.01Jun 19, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$10.05Jun 19, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 30?$11.71Jun 19, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$14.02Jun 19, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?$68.07Jun 19, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?$68.00May 31, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$68.07May 31, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$68.00May 30, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$10.00May 30, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in May?$78.70May 30, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in May?$78.62May 29, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 30?$11.70May 29, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$90.09May 29, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $70.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.