Idle-Crib
0x24612f92d7ea9164a9a2fe63fa9a9ea17ff4ae29
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.39
Total PnL
$-72.37
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
43 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.37
$-1.63
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-1.75
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?
4351 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?
543 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?
223 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-23.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.11Jan 17, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$23.95Jan 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$1.09Jan 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.16Jan 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman moon landing in 2026?$1.81Jan 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$3.12Jan 14, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$1.33Jan 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$0.54Jan 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?$0.43Jan 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$1.00Jan 14, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.