Powerful-Present
0x24624d609d5849d35ea207a13148a3d214108c0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-163.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
10035 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-92.37
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
38 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
17 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
15 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$3.51May 20, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$4.85May 20, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$4.11May 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$4.16May 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$5.20May 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$5.14May 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$20.80May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$5.16May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$0.09May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.56May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$4.50May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.52May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.54May 20, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.93May 20, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$4.54May 20, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$21.95May 20, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$9.36May 20, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$9.71May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?$15.15May 20, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.