Agreeable-Impudence
0x2482f87037df2ce3cada66afad2d1820ad5afd45
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$115.98
Total PnL
$-27.28
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3215 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$38.58
$-1.44
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
39 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
68 shares @ 30.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.93
$-8.90
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
54 shares @ 23.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$9.43
$-3.46
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
192 shares @ 8.5¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.11
$-7.12
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
20 shares @ 34.6¢·now 26.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$-1.72
- YES
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-17?$3.04Jun 14, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$3.07Jun 14, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$2.05Jun 14, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score$5.08Jun 14, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$5.07Jun 14, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score$5.09Jun 14, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$23.82Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Scotland (-1.5)$0.00Jun 14, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score$16.47Jun 14, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Scotland (-1.5)$1.02Jun 14, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$14.43Jun 14, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$20.83Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?$1.03Jun 13, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMQatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jun 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$10.16Jun 13, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland to score first vs. Qatar?$5.81Jun 13, 21:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.