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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?

Probability

86¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$12.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 86¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 10.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5986.2h

    LOW
  • 13:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same event"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
Category · Other

Market Description

On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).