Critical-Citizen
0x248b97d914641282cd98e2e16ea5154cb6b12115
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.44
Total PnL
$-33.40
Realised
$0.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.82
$-1.18
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-07?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
20 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
8 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
6 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.00Apr 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.00Apr 9, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$1.19Apr 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.59Apr 8, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.00Apr 8, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$1.00Apr 8, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.07Apr 8, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.08Apr 8, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hurricanes win?$1.19Apr 8, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$7.14Apr 8, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.00Apr 7, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$1.00Apr 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hurricanes win?$1.00Mar 16, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chiefs win?$1.00Mar 16, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.01Mar 13, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".