Jaded-Supernatural
0x249a05365a4c444f2a97691c03d6f67e23aa73b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$123.95
Total PnL
$-74.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Meta (META) finish week of July 13 above $730?
103 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$103.10
$0.10
- ENGLAND
France vs. England: Team to Win
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$10.83
$6.93
- NO
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 7?
645 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7?
603 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 7?
557 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?
533 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 10?
533 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 28?
520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 6?
430 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of July 13 above $730?$103.00Jul 17, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$4.02Jul 17, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$107.11Jul 17, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$107.00Jun 30, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 1 above $305?$107.17Jun 30, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 1 above $305?$107.00Jun 5, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on May 31?$13.46Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.51Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$79.03Jun 5, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$78.87May 31, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs$15.18May 31, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$63.67May 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$63.43May 30, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?$62.91May 30, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?$63.02May 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on May 31?$13.45May 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs$8.76May 30, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?$84.89May 30, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?$85.02May 30, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$85.92May 30, 05:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $82.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.