Playful-Lawn
0x24aab9f0ffe38a718f988760f5d27c8418317e0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
529 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$524.39
$24.18
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
1760 shares @ 33.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.83
$-313.82
- YES
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
228 shares @ 89.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$225.79
$21.95
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
256 shares @ 59.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$183.04
$32.00
- NO
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
170 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.75
$4.25
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
300 shares @ 73.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$148.50
$-70.50
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
800 shares @ 66.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.00
$-380.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
115 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$105.86
$11.56
- NO
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.91
$3.91
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
120 shares @ 39.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.20
$53.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$18.24Jun 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$6.91Jun 13, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?$8.70Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?$8.75Jun 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.58Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.17Jun 13, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$0.00Jun 13, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 05:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$250.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$871.79Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$142.50Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$0.14Jun 12, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$0.58Jun 12, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$8.67Jun 12, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$162.65Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$100.06Jun 12, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.51Jun 12, 03:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $38.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.