Portly-Past
0x24c517156c557cd1f3cef97036ace147ac05e032
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$118.53
Total PnL
$-266.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1026 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$60.00
$5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
79 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$13.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3019 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$10.57
$-54.43
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.78
$1.78
- YES
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
119 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.54
$0.54
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.64
$-1.36
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
568 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
355 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.31
$-22.69
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
417 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.29
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.15May 25, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$5.25May 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$15.61May 14, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50May 14, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$11.11May 14, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.03May 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$2.05May 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$5.23May 13, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$2.06May 6, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$2.05May 5, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$2.05May 5, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$2.05May 5, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?$1.03May 5, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?$1.03May 5, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?$1.03May 5, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEberechi Eze: Anytime Goalscorer$1.02May 5, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$2.00May 4, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?$1.02May 2, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?$1.03May 2, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 13:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".