0x24c7e40e814034a0940d0ee9b5f9639e7c3510bd
0x24c7e40e814034a0940d0ee9b5f9639e7c3510bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.92
Total PnL
$-27.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3 shares @ 38.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 1?
864 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$4.13Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$3.30Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.93Jun 12, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.02Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$2.00Jun 12, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$1.99Jun 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$1.99Jun 8, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$2.00May 30, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$2.00May 30, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.00May 28, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$4.99May 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$4.99May 24, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.01May 23, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.99May 23, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.03May 22, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.99May 20, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.01May 20, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.99May 20, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00May 20, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.00May 20, 19:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.