Clear-Cut-Thump
0x24d198655cca9afaf00346c12254ceb8690ebde4
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$34.48
Total PnL
$-128.61
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$34.48
$24.48
- FLORENT BAX
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Bax
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in Michigan?
39 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders say "DHS" or "TSA" in Michigan?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- ANNA BONDAR
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng
24 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?
23 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-07?$10.21Jun 7, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-06-07?$10.21Jun 7, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hungary win on 2026-06-05?$30.45Jun 7, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary win on 2026-06-05?$19.10Jun 5, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wales win on 2026-06-02?$10.17Jun 2, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMAustria vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score$8.93Jun 2, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-01?$14.93Jun 2, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-01?$10.10Jun 1, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustria vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score$5.07Jun 1, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$5.12May 30, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$11.11May 29, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?$8.93May 27, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$5.08May 27, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?$5.07May 23, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?$9.80May 22, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?$5.07May 21, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$8.33May 21, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score$3.05May 21, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$5.06May 20, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$10.00May 20, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.