Easy-Morning
0x24d89fca55c557d43578f50da333b2760a1345a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.26
Total PnL
$-3.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.26
$4.26
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?
410 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- JAZZ
Celtics vs. Jazz
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?$1.00Apr 18, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Clippers$0.00Jan 26, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Clippers$1.28Jan 26, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCeltics vs. Jazz$1.10Dec 31, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Jazz$1.00Dec 31, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?$0.00Dec 31, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-30?$0.00Dec 31, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?$0.00Dec 31, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?$1.22Dec 31, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?$1.00Dec 30, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?$1.75Dec 30, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?$1.00Dec 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?$1.00Dec 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?$1.00Dec 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?$1.00Dec 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-30?$1.00Dec 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Clippers$1.00Dec 30, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Jazz$1.00Dec 30, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?$0.00Dec 30, 01:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 22:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.