Amusing-Amber
0x24eea75bebd21f4fea1559c93cdb572b235a4e60
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$204.79
Total PnL
$-52.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
418 shares @ 13.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.43
$-0.34
- NO
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$49.49
$-0.51
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
206 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.50
$-0.10
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 12.7¢·now 11.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.11
$-1.89
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
237 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.69
$-1.30
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$10.71
$-4.29
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.10
$-1.50
- YES
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?
91 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$7.74
$-0.46
- NO
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
37 shares @ 26.8¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.71
$-3.28
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.41
$1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?$7.19Jun 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals$58.27Jun 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals$20.40Jun 23, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?$29.46Jun 23, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$50.76Jun 23, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia?$8.42Jun 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? AND Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?$20.58Jun 23, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.34Jun 23, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$31.44Jun 23, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?$9.60Jun 23, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-2.5) AND Spread: England (-1.5) AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$19.16Jun 23, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMPoznan: Facundo Acosta vs Gustavo Heide$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMMallorca Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Marc-Andrea Huesler$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: United States (-2.5)$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 3 Uruguay?$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$0.00Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $25.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.