Frail-Anyone
0x25000eb121dab875bed95f94d3d8d485f5c1e812
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
13810 shares @ 15.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
8000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$440.00
$-360.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
5543 shares @ 5.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$152.44
$-147.55
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
44395 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-315.65
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8495 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-649.98
- CABO VERDE
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
1852 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-129.66
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
1797 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-79.20
- YES
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?
1606 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-128.71
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
758 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-361.07
- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
708 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-240.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$245.53Jul 6, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$154.23Jul 6, 15:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$62.00Jul 5, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$101.56Jul 5, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$50.67Jul 5, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$203.18Jul 5, 11:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$416.67Jul 4, 08:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$133.28Jul 3, 11:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$81.47Jul 1, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$51.32Jul 1, 11:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $483.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.