Secondary-Lobotomy
0x250c209da4b8cd7543a12eed529efc68b6982774
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$345.07
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$2.5K
Win rate
90%
102 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
10128 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$146.85
$111.48
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
13914 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.70
$-28.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
8134 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$28.47
$6.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
11094 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$27.73
$-9.10
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
7400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$18.50
$-7.28
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4495 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.98
$0.57
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5029 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.60
$-9.59
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
9658 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.49
$-14.78
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-2.48
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.80 in July?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28?$0.69Jul 27, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 27?$0.25Jul 27, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$6.92Jul 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?$0.41Jul 27, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$30.00Jul 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 27?$0.06Jul 27, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 27?$0.14Jul 27, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 27?$1.22Jul 27, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Jul 27, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 27?$0.01Jul 27, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?$3.24Jul 27, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28?$0.10Jul 27, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28?$0.25Jul 27, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Jul 27, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$7.20Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.04Jul 27, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in July?$6.00Jul 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 27?$0.09Jul 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 27?$0.09Jul 27, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
90% win rate over 102 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
102 closed markets, 90% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 102 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.