Fake-Polyester
0x25257a6a89dba93dd0c536b6279365632a4eb919
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$56.3K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
53%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
5329 shares @ 89.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$413.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
4861 shares @ 67.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$934.57
- YES
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
14582 shares @ 34.9¢·now 27.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.0K
$-1.1K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
4064 shares @ 74.4¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$44.15
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
3545 shares @ 77.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.9K
$185.39
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
2943 shares @ 68.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$602.56
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
3369 shares @ 66.8¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$343.54
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2665 shares @ 94.9¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$18.96
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
3331 shares @ 63.7¢·now 71.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$270.21
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
4277 shares @ 48.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.2K
$175.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$0.92Jun 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$599.94Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$194.70Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$13.58Jun 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$13.02Jun 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$15.11Jun 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$111.59Jun 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$630.23Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$305.60Jun 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$366.63Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$220.07Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$643.03Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$32.36Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$407.57Jun 13, 18:28 UTC
- MERGEWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$209.99Jun 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$55.37Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.6KJun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.5KJun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$31.77Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$12.14Jun 13, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 25, 15:20 UTC → May 25, 15:14 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.5K@40¢May 25, 15:14 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.5K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
$5.5K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $310.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.