OtherExpires Mar 31, 2026

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Probability

44¢

+0.1pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$5.5K

Liquidity

$24.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.1pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:54

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors

1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 44¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
3
Thin liquidity
Only $24.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

18:54Signal
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
LOW

Price movement

-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.

Biggest hourly move: +26.6pp at 3d ago (to 65¢).

Show all 55 hour-by-hour ticks

18:54 · -19.7pp → 44¢
17:00 · -20.8pp → 43¢
16:00 · -18.1pp → 44¢
15:00 · -19.2pp → 43¢
13:00 · -14.1pp → 44¢
12:00 · -14.1pp → 44¢
10:00 · -18.1pp → 44¢
09:00 · -16.4pp → 44¢
08:00 · -16.4pp → 44¢
06:00 · -17.8pp → 44¢
05:00 · -19.1pp → 44¢
03:00 · +4.7pp → 45¢
02:00 · +5.1pp → 45¢
00:00 · +6.7pp → 46¢
22:00 · +7.7pp → 46¢
20:00 · +7.2pp → 46¢
1d ago · +6.7pp → 46¢
1d ago · +6.7pp → 46¢
1d ago · +7.5pp → 47¢
1d ago · +3.7pp → 48¢
1d ago · +3.9pp → 43¢
1d ago · -4.5pp → 43¢
1d ago · +3.8pp → 43¢
2d ago · +5.0pp → 43¢
2d ago · -3.8pp → 44¢
2d ago · +3.6pp → 45¢
2d ago · +5.4pp → 45¢
2d ago · -7.1pp → 44¢
2d ago · -7.7pp → 44¢
2d ago · -8.2pp → 43¢
2d ago · -9.1pp → 42¢
2d ago · -9.6pp → 42¢
2d ago · +21.8pp → 59¢
2d ago · +26.0pp → 64¢
2d ago · +25.6pp → 64¢
2d ago · +25.4pp → 64¢
2d ago · +25.1pp → 63¢
3d ago · +25.5pp → 64¢
3d ago · +23.8pp → 62¢
3d ago · +24.5pp → 63¢
3d ago · +19.7pp → 58¢
3d ago · +19.8pp → 58¢
3d ago · +19.8pp → 58¢
3d ago · +23.9pp → 62¢
3d ago · +22.1pp → 60¢
3d ago · +22.1pp → 60¢
3d ago · +22.4pp → 61¢
3d ago · +24.9pp → 63¢
3d ago · +26.6pp → 65¢
4d ago · +5.8pp → 44¢
4d ago · +4.5pp → 43¢
4d ago · +9.1pp → 47¢
4d ago · +3.0pp → 41¢
4d ago · +5.9pp → 44¢
4d ago · +3.2pp → 41¢

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWeed rescheduled by...?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Mar 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: US governmentOfficial government sourceextracted · high
dea.gov
Market type: Binary

No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket