Aching-Snake
0x25283ba1d7a67cb1226bb38155f843514ef9a4f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$91.70
Total PnL
$74.58
Realised
$168.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
1054 shares @ 0.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.70
$58.48
- YES
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
232 shares @ 0.2¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.62
$9.14
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
286 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.86
$-34.18
- YES
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?
37 shares @ 0.7¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.55
$5.29
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
800 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.00
$-38.00
- YES
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?
120 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.38
$0.78
- YES
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.10
$-1.10
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
4480 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-53.76
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $4B one day after launch?$6.98Jun 12, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.65Jun 12, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.10Jun 3, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.96Jun 2, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$7.49Jun 2, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?$10.43Jun 2, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35.93Jun 2, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.03May 29, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.13May 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?$0.41May 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?$0.07May 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYReya FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.35May 21, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$6.30May 19, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s IPO valuation be less than 1.25T?$0.75May 17, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?$0.28May 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTheo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.51May 17, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$0.08May 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$0.12May 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$0.02May 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$0.60May 14, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.