Grounded-Tub
0x253c33bc82ce4dcf81f5f76fa069f66803780b2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$40.57
Total PnL
$-102.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
26 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$25.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
15 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$15.06
$0.06
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
51 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
19 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
18 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Pacers
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
8 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$12.08Jun 6, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$25.20Jun 6, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$15.01Jun 6, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$25.03Jun 6, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$11.07May 22, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$25.01May 22, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.18May 22, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$11.46May 22, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$11.03May 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$10.06May 14, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.01May 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Pistons$9.30May 14, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?$10.02May 14, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$10.48May 14, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$20.35May 14, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$20.41May 14, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$26.04May 14, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?$10.00May 10, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$25.03May 10, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$8.03Apr 29, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $22.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".