Major-Silica
0x253d1b998b6df1ffea720fb1af67815baf7cccc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$24.81
Total PnL
$-34.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$13.33
$3.33
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
25 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.00
$0.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.31
$-2.69
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$10.10May 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$8.22May 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$5.18May 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$1.04May 23, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$1.04May 23, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.18May 6, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$50.00May 6, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.80Apr 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.00Apr 20, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 2, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 2, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 2, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 2, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by March 31?$7.17Apr 2, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$0.00Mar 19, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$4.00Mar 2, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 09:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.