Dead-Prior
0x2541cd1c485e1e15fd1e1f1f974adb16f3e24f1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$17.13
Total PnL
$-10.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- ALLEN
Allen vs. de Ridder
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$2.86
$1.86
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-18?$1.00Oct 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?$1.00Oct 18, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$1.00Oct 18, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDolphins vs. Browns$1.00Oct 18, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAllen vs. de Ridder$1.00Oct 18, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?$1.00Oct 18, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$1.00Oct 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 18, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$1.00Oct 18, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Oct 18, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 18, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Oct 18, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$1.00Oct 18, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 18, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Oct 18, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.00Oct 18, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$1.00Oct 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $1.00Oct 18, 10:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $506.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 18, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".